Well that threw everything up in the air.
The Bulldogs beat Geelong to ruin Adelaide’s and Carlton’s chances of finishing 4th. The Roos beat the Saints to give everyone in the top 8 hope.
The Saints loss to the lowly, pathetic North has caused me to drop them to second on the Power List; the Pies’ emphatic win over the Swans, vaults them into first spot. Geelong’s loss has seen them tumble down to 5th (and I have to say I probably should have put the Blues ahead of them as well). They look fragile, and when you consider the Crows should have beaten them a Kadinia Park in Round 18, they are a side sorely lacking in form.
Port blew a massive lead to make sure it won’t play in the finals, but the Bomber’s loss to Fremantle means 8th spot comes down to whoever wins out of the Hawks and Bombers – a great scenario for the AFL, that should mean a massive crowd next Saturday at the MCG.
Collingwood and the Bulldogs meet to see who finishes 3rd, though the Bulldogs will need to win by about 20-30 points (depending on the total score), to edge ahead on percentage). By my calculations, if the Bulldogs win 100-80, Collingwood will finish 3rd; if they win 100-75, the Bulldogs will finish 3rd. So if the Bulldogs are up in the last quarter expect a live ladder replace the actual match scoreboard.
Adelaide and Carlton will play to see who (most likely) finishes 5th and 7th. Assuming the Lions beat Sydney, 5th will play at home to Essendon; 7th will play Brisbane at the Gabba. If the Lions lose to Sydney, then it will finish 7th, and both Carlton and Adelaide will have a home final regardless. Theoretically as well if either Adelaide or Carlton win by heaps, and the Bulldogs lose by a hep, then the Bulldogs could drop to fifth. Unlike, but it just shows how tight thing can get.
The crucial aspect of finishing 5th is it means you avoid playing the Saints till the Grand Final (assuming they win the preliminary final). Though that possibly doesn't mean as much as it did two weeks ago.